Sunday, May 30, 2010

ETF Bonds, Not Looking Too Bad in 2010....

     I have not been a fan of ETFs, which I refer to as a "Globalized Mutual Funds". And I've damn well highlite Mutuals in the core principles of my personal investment philosophy: "No Burgers, Not Too Trashy, No Mutual Funds".  My personality doesn't lend itself to Prostituting Principles , but I have discovered a loophole to appease my psyche: ETF Bonds.

     My Ex in San Diego gave me the lead and I liked what I saw (sorta).  It's research intensive, having to do the co backgrounds to avoid getting the "GM Investor Experience" and needed a general knowledge of foreign bankruptcy law. etc.  And I wanted a good return for the fees I'll be paying. High-yield issues are behaving like shares, though, as befits their higher risk profile.  Do some R&B and you may find them worthwhile.

Here's one to get started with:

     The iShares iBoxx High Yield Corporate Bond Fund (HYG), which tracks the iBoxx high-yield bond index, has moved more or less in lock step with the S&P 500.  This exchange-traded fund holds non-investment grade dollar-denominated bonds, debt issued by those organisations not able to obtain a BBB- rating or better from the main agencies.  Full details of this ETF and its holdings are available on the iShares website.  But its most eye-catching feature right now is the distribution yield of over 9%.

   



N/E

Thursday, May 27, 2010

The Next CLWR...

     It took us months to figure out how to Play CLWR, the Rollercoaster Stock in our Ports.  Eventually, we put our heads together and came up with a Strategy to Ride the Coaster, Selling High and Buying Low.
     Just today we went IN on J.A. Solar Holding (JASO) which has a volatile history.  It is just familiar enough to us that we think we can call it.
     It WON'T be making up 20% of my ports, so win or lose...  And the co has been praised and put on "must have" lists, lately.  Though not always a tell, good mentions could indicate an upward trend.  That'd spoil our "fun", and kibosh our strat; but save on the aspirin!
N/E   

Wednesday, May 26, 2010

Very Happy...


...with MRO.

Monday, May 24, 2010

It's Monday - 3:09A. Do You Know Where Your Wall Street Journal Is?...

Add to Watchlist (Takeover Rumor)...

Cowen Group Inc. (COWN 4.57, +0.13, +2.93%) : The entire investment banking and asset management landscape has been altered by the implosion of Bear Stearns and Lehman Brothers. As a result of the extinction of these players and the restrictions placed on the big financials, boutique investment banks like Cowen Group have been able to gain market share and pick up some of the best talent on the Street.
This investment bank has specialties in mergers and restructuring, as well as an asset management business focusing on "hedge fund of funds." Cowen's head is the famed and legendary dealmaker Peter Cohen. He certainly may not want to sell -- but, as the banks start circling offering premiums to this ridiculously undervalued entity (Cowen trades at less then 0.9 times book), then the temptation may be too great.
Obvious acquirers would be BlackRock Inc., Legg Mason Inc., Swiss-based UBS AG, Morgan Stanley and German-based Deutsche Bank AG.

Also:
You may have another chance to get IN on WFC.

No, Not Again...

Don't tell me Douglas has threatened to get out of the Blogging Biz, yet again.  Tale of Woe, et. al.

What the???  Got a quickstudy on my hands...D.

Sunday, May 23, 2010

"Break Time" is Replacing "Play Time"...

     I like nothing better than Playing The Market.  Everybody knows that looking for the next 20% Gain is exhilarating to me.  Well, lately; not so much.  I got the Market Blues in May, but I think I'm making a mistake in This Market. 
     Not that we lost on Ports, but the gains are just too slow for "The Rush".  After [painful] analysis of YTD Gains, it was made clear to me that--- if we'd NOT taken profits and just Held, we'd have only have 3% Net less Port Value.  This, when I won't pick up the phone for a 5% Lead!  OUCH!  With the massive flux we've had in the past month, the results may be skewed (our intern is on the ball), but I don't think I'll put forth much of an effort in the next month, only to reamin on the Treadmill.
     It is true that I have Taken Profits at a pace not exceeded by "Sherman's March to the Sea".  Not to mention the thousands of docs I went through to Pick "Winners".  Tracking down "Big Gain" was much more Fun when there was alot more Gain to track. 
     Call it the Frustration of The Market mixed with Market Malaise, but I need a Stop Loss Break
    
     I will continue to give you guys information in this Blog.  Just because I'm going to be Managing, Shuffling and Culling Out Non-Productives in my [now] 72 Positions (gotta find a Parking Space) ; I will still be giving Bad Advice.  We'll see if it's still relevant.

"I may not be at the table,
but I haven't left the casino..." 


Friday, May 21, 2010

New Group “Member”…

     “We’ve” got an Intern for the Summer.  He’ll be doing the Edits for this Blog as I do not have time for the R&D.  He’s actually working in a member’s real estate firm for the Summer, and this is his grunge project

     (I give him a month…)

Today…

     I’m going out on a limb, today and telling everyone to GET IN with some Mattress Money.  Could be because “Misery Loves Company”.  Neah, I am optimistic about the next 2 or 3 months. 
     We’re taking a look at Resistance Levels in our Ports and reevaluating Profit Taking %’s.

Need Cash in the next week or so, take a look at TGIC.OB, NOW.

Wednesday, May 19, 2010

Not A Completely Dud Day...

      Cashed Out of DBTK @ 10.31, from Monday Buy @ 9.61. Satisfied with 2 Day Flip.  Too bad it couldn't be the break even on the VHC Position taken (that's wwhat I haste about the strategy of being in ALL Sectors!).  But I needed more of a CASH Position (not going to hold it long enough to Park) and just wasn't sure where DB would go from Monday's Alert. I needed the Cash and there's just not too much available to Devest for profit.

May be of Interest...

Watch Jim, tonight...
(CNBC, 6:P)

Today's Activity...

No, I'm not very Active, today!

We've been here before...


...riding the
Storm out.





The Sun
will rise, again.

Hmm.  Color text and highlight.  Someone's got nothing to do in The Market, today.

Monday, May 17, 2010

As if I Need Another Reason to Despise Unions and Dislike GM...

     My readers know two thing's: I'm Radically Pro-Business and I DESPISE Unions.  The UAW and it's co-conspirator in The White House is doing wonders for the Economy.  GM, has(d) that Beaming Commercial running for The Masses about how they'd paid themselves out of debt; and did it "straight", while having $52 BILLION worth of stock owned by the Mother Government.  Today, they're touting a "profit" of $865 Million!  It is a co. I wouldn't consider if I could take 20% profit a week (but I'll still drive a Cadillac, which I consider their only "saving grace brand").  One has too much Disease Risk when he jumps in bed with a Whore.  
     Remember how much more competitive GM was going to be coming out of bankruptcy. Aside from shedding a lot of its debt and attendant costs, the company was going to emerge with a competitive labor cost structure.  Here's a blip which does not change my opinion:
From the WSJ:
     Three years after General Motors Co. won wage and benefit concessions from its union, the company has yet to realize savings from a key provision that cuts pay by more than half for new U.S. hires.
GM’s deal with the United Auto Workers cuts the combined wage-and-benefit cost for a newly hired factory worker to $25.65 an hour, compared with about $60 an hour for current workers. By comparison, the nonunion workers at Toyota Motor Corp.’s U.S. plants cost the company approximately $48 an hour in wages and benefits, Toyota says.
     But GM can’t add new workers at the lower wage yet. It still has 5,000 laid-off workers who, under their contract terms, have first crack at any union jobs that the company adds, and most would return to work at the higher pay level.
Ford Motor Co. and Chrysler Group LLC have similar union contracts allowing them to hire workers at the lower wage, but they also haven’t hired significant numbers of new workers.
     “That’s probably one of the reasons the UAW agreed to [the lower wages]. They knew right off the bat there wouldn’t be a lot of leeway for the companies to hire new workers,” said David Whiston, an auto analyst at Morningstar Inc. “There will always be this fundamental difference—that the Detroit companies have union shops” and the U.S. plants of foreign makers don’t.
     If you want to find a pony in all of this I guess it would be that the company is managing to make a profit despite getting no relief from its labor costs. Nevertheless, you might want to keep this little bit of information in mind just in case you have an urge to take a plunge on the upcoming IPO.

Still LUV my Ford! (Vehicle and Stock)

Add to Watchlist...

     I've gone back to my 2009 Special Place for Leads.  But be Diligent in your R&B, this is not 2009.  Even I am cautious because the source hasn't used it in awhile, but did make Profit Buys on the leads last week. 
     I am contently revisiting the "no Buy over $20 per, and I prefer $1-3 + change" Trading Mode in a new Port.  Non-Junk, Cheap is getting harder to find than " a Club Chick in Sunday School

DBTK -  SWKS  - PBEC (outsider picked this) - YUII
VHC -
NGD (careful with this co, "we've been down this road before")  

This week...

       RDS.A has taken a hit, along with other Big Oil Stocks, but do a bit of R&B.  We've Group and Individual Holding Ports with it, but the $52-54 Range is attractive.  Okay Div.



My Ol' Buddy, Max, offered me a Position to get back In on a BP Block, I passed because I'm ALL IN on Best Laid Plans for QuickFlip.  May consider taking Parked out of MRO (?).  Consensus is that it's hit it's floor @ $43-45 Range.  That minimum 10% on the money by the end of the year does look attractive.  But 7.20% Div. is bound to take a Hit.

Low Oil Prices aren't helping our Petrol Ports at the moment...

Friday, May 14, 2010

I'm ALL FOR the VAT Tax...

...but I've just a couple caveats.
[Link] 

This Should Be Posted In My Political Blog, But Events Hurting The Market Have Me Just a Bit Irritated, Today...

     The Headlines seem to be leading the market.  This is Good or Bad for us depending on whether we're in a Buy or Sell Mode.  As part of the cycle, the mode is decided by Market Activity. 
     Europe accounts for 20% of our 7% Export Income, but one would think we sell 50% of everything we produce to that market.  Wreaking 100% of Today's Market Downturn.  Piss Ants are dictating moves of the Aardvark, and I don't get it. 
     Certainly, with This Administration in charge (as with it's Close Predecessors), we seem to have lost sight of the fact that:
We Are UNITED STATES of AMERICA. 
     When did we become the Lackey, Houseboy and "Mother" of Europe, Asia, and the Mid East.  Today's Market Activity, cause by the Absurdity of the European Union Experiment, doesn't do anything to deter my Isolationist Attitude.  Must we "hold everyone's hand so they can cross the street"?   The American Philosophy, of late, seems to have been: "Let's all get hit by the same speeding car" (driver distracted by a cellphone).  Euro Dept Contagion may be that "speeding car".  
     I often say of Import Policy, "If we don't buy their products, who will?" and ALOT OF THEM.  We consistently do, even with the Great Recession (an American Socialist Slogan I still cringe at the mention of).  And on Exports, "Everybody wants American Made and American Lifestyle", still the standard the World Aspires To. 
     And just perhaps, if we weren't involved with every little "global situation" and would stop interfering with the internal affairs of every other sovereign nation, our own terrorist problem would ease up.  Terrorist's Causes would be neutered, because they'd have less reason to kick the Great Satan around.  YA THINK!
     Our Globalization Policy has "come home to roost"; Hell, it has been here for awhile (since, say, 2001).  "Foreign Aid" is paying off, BIGTIME (talk about sarcasm of thought). 
It's certainly done Wonders to Our Society,
 Our Economy,
and Our Markets.

GOD BLESS AMERICA !
And a little common sense wouldn't hurt!
We got not problems to concentrate our efforts on
at Home?
Didn't the Roman Empire "spread itself to thin"
before it Fall?  Hmm...

 Truth Will Stand!
[Fairwell EU?]

Go Shopping...

Wake Up!
Start Trailing Downtrend and set a W-E Limit Order (+2-3%).







Pick Something and Go IN.




What's happening over at BARK GROUP, INC (BKPG.OB)?

Thursday, May 13, 2010

Which of Yesterday's Are Worth the BUY?...

AEterna Zentaris (AEZS):  I think this co is worth a bit of a gamble.  Most of their Projects are in Late-Stage Development, so the Price should Hit (or miss) relatively quickly.  In general, theBiotech Sector did not have a good 2009 and ended the year a bit underweighted.  For us, this could indicate upward trends for 2010.  The stock dropped .11, today; but this could indicate a Buy Op within the week (tomorrow?, Monday?).  No crystal ball, here, but if it drops again tomorrow, we'll Go In and cross our fingers for Monday.  Watch for Takeover.
Popular, Inc. (BPOP):  Ooh, we're finding some "why on list" cos, this week.  Usually I'd "run like Hell" in the opposite direction from a Banking Stock is serving countries such as El Salvador and Puerto Rico (talk about stability...)!  But when the FDIC is having a Fire Sale, and Bancos like Pop's Subsidiaries are cherry picking, I stop and take a look.  Banco Santander, S.A. Sponsored has done well enough for us to have a Loss Buffer.  If we do Go, the Trail Up Stop Loss will be slapped on after a quick 20%.
Banco Santander (STD):  Just take a look.  We have this in our Holding, moved from Working after Prof Taking.  For us, it's high, but may have traction if it's new to you.
Dean Foods (DF):  Any company can overcome a rough Quarter.  Moody's has downgraded the company, but I'm going to use Moody's as a Negative Indicator on this dairy co.  They have suspended 2010 Guidance, not a big deal from my investment perspective; unless it's to trumpet a bargain.  They're having to cut 350-400 staff, but that's only a nod to Buy for me.  Get on the Chop Block after a couple Quarters.

EDIT

Wednesday, May 12, 2010

Taking a Look and Testing the Market Waters (they're warm) at Mid-Week...

     I'm aways going "back to basics".  Our "basics" are Pick and Buy.  These cos are on in the forefront of our Investment Strategies for the week. 
     Get back to you re: why; but for now pop 'em on your Watch/Buy Lists:

AEZS - BPOP - DF - JASO - STD
THRX - XOMA*
[Boeing suppliers**

(*these are reup considerations for us)
(**sorry, if you missed the 34% I took in profs on TIE last week)

Tuesday, May 11, 2010

If you haven't read enough on the Oil Rig Disaster in the Gulf...

     Among the Sector Sites to which I subscribe, Oil-Price.net was one of the last read; no more.  All of a sudden, with the Petroleum Sector Exposure we have, it has become a must read.
     Click this link an article you'll find both informative and somewhat intriguing:

More Oil Tech/Topic Sites:
R/D, Start: Oil Spill Liability Trust Fund [This is a must know topic for any intelligence on the Current Situation. Start searching.]


Take a look...

     Two old stocks from our 2009 Master List are back in play.  Add Dean Foods (DF) and Banco Santander (STD) to your watchlist,

Monday, May 10, 2010

Re: PG. Don't Freak over High Frequencies...

     I'm on the way to the airport in JAX, but I won't let this slide because I'm tired of the "dead horse" being beaten.  Hell, who gives a damn about what really happened with the spike down in the market?  We All either Hold or Have Held PG.  Did anyone lose any money because of Circuit Breakers or High Frequency Trades, last week?

No?

Thought not.

Re: BP, an Ode...

     I'm sick that poor BP is involved with the current catastrophe.  But not because we had to dump our Stock (made $) and it had us rethink long-term Petrol Strategy. 
     Rather, BP is a "good" company caught
in a horrible situation. 
Right now, the estimated cost is at $3B Range, based on what I've been reading.

This is one of the Best Explanations I've read on the incident and future of OS Drilling: [LINK, Seeking Alpha]

Sunday, May 9, 2010

This week...

     This will be a Mangement Week for Us.  Balancing Accounts will take a bit of time.  We bought bargains, last week and we're greedily awaiting Prof Margins.  No new Picks until Market moderates.

Friday, May 7, 2010

In JAX for W-E...


Gone to Jacksonville for the W-E.   
Love this City! 
What is the city's best attraction?; his name is Sam.

The Landing, though far less exciting, is another of note.
Will be there for Fourth of July as well.


No wonder the airlines are having trouble;
no Direct from GSO to JAX!
I am in need of a shower after layover at ATL.

Thursday, May 6, 2010

Damn Alerts...

     336 Alerts in my "dailies" Inbox at 1P on 67 Positions; gee, "What's Hap?".  And that was just the Alerts count, seems EVERYONE had an op, today. 
      I would have hated to be a rookie, today.  I would have thought this was Investment Hell.
    
How was your day?

We're "All IN", but there are Limits...

There isn't even Spare Change left uncommited in any of our Individual or Group Ports.
Some Limit Buys have been triggered, but we've had to Trail Down all day to beat them!  The Real Fool will not be up for the European Markets, tomorrow.  Friday may be the day we see the "clearing showers".

We'll be Notching UP Limit Orders between 4P and 9P, today.

Wednesday, May 5, 2010

"Best" of the day...

Only a tenative testing of the waters, today, with a Reup on XOMA (Working) and an In on OZM (Holding).  Pitiful...

On the Bright Side, it's about as bad as it's going to get (?)...

     I feel a sense of deja vu with the Dollar surging in value and our Markets just going to Hell.  In the last 5 months of '09, we'd look for bargains if the dollar surged and would look to Sell on the downgrade.  Well, yesterday, the dollar was Way Up against every other currency.  We don't trade them, but we sure as hell pay attention to the Currencies Market. 
     And what to do about Greece, the "Lower Middle Class Family" of Europe, overextended to the inth degree and defaulting?  In the U.S., the Family bought a house they couldn't afford, a new car, a flatscreen; Greece offered too liberal wages, pention plans,the best a Welfare State could offer and topped it all off with rampant tax evasion.  Hope Wahington is paying attention

    It's a real frustration to go shopping for bargains in The Market, only to find the share you won ARE the bargains.  But we'll find some...

(For Fun, learn more about that U.S. Family: LINK)

Tuesday, May 4, 2010

Yippikaiya...

...Anyone catch that 16% Jump in TGIC, today?

...Anybody HOLD?

"What goes up..."...

Bargains avalable, but the we're not Buying anything we haven't been Charting!
(We don't like Buying at day-before-yesterday prices.)

Today...

Dividend:
Take a look at OCH ZIFF Capital Management Group (OZM).  If I keep tripping over a stock through leads and recommendations, I eventually have that "eureka" moment when I actually take a look.  OZM is a Trade whose time has come. 

We've Sold the following Positions and have Deleted them from our 2010 Watchlists:
 ABAT - LJPC.PK (not sold, but not watched; it's this years SIXF, don't ask) - IWA - KSP

A Clause you may have seen when dealing with "derivatives"...

CAUTIONARY NOTE REGARDING FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS: This press release contains "forward-looking statements" as defined under the U.S. federal securities laws. Generally, the words "believe," "expect," "intend," "estimate," "anticipate," "project," "will" and similar expressions identify forward-looking statements, which generally are not historical in nature. Forward-looking statements are subject to certain risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to materially differ from the Fund's historical experience and its present expectations or projections indicated in any forward-looking statement. These risks include, but are not limited to, changes in economic and political conditions; regulatory and legal changes; energy industry risk; commodity pricing risk; leverage risk; valuation risk; non-diversification risk; interest rate risk; tax risk; and other risks discussed in the Fund's filings with the SEC. You should not place undue reliance on forward-looking statements, which speak only as of the date they are made. The Fund undertakes no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statements made herein. There is no assurance that the Fund's investment objectives will be attained.

Then, if you still went IN...

Sunday, May 2, 2010

Off Topic: Ah, Spring Love...

Two Stockbrokers, whose firms I do business with, are engaged!
  
     Now, I'm exploring this.  It is Spring Fever run amuckor Does it have something to do with Market Conditions?  Spring Fever, I can glean no help from; but if it's Market Conditions, and I may be able to make something of it...

     Whether the institution of marriage will make these guys better Brokers is a question.  I figure they'll be of no use 1-3 months after the befuddlement of nuptials and not so much help a year hence as the marriage loses it's glow.  In five years, when the divorces are final, they'll become good drinking buddies at the Pub.  Alas, we've worked around this situation, before.

     Still, there's something in the back of my mind which asks, "why buy the cow when you're getting the milk for free".  But anyone who knows me, knows I'm probably the wrong guy for an opinion on the topic; being happy as a "confirmed bachelor" (Hmm...).  I have, long ago, learned Love has nothing to do with Logic.  Also, I know enough to keep whatever opinions I have to myself; save this one...


(I will apologize, in advance, to you girls for my
apparent misogynist humor.)

Saturday, May 1, 2010

The Week Ahead...

 And now back to making decisions

     We've some cash from profs on the sidelines (not Parked, just there doing nothing).  It's going to be our "rainy day fund".   It's easy to think of such things after our third round at the Pub, but we got the odd idea there'd be a mini-crash later in 2010.  Something analogous to the mid-January experience.  It still was a consideration the next day and skating a % of each Sell into Portfolio Checking Accounts became standard. 

Stocks on tap this week:

Calgon Carbon Corporation (CCC).
Morgan Stanley High Yield Fund Inc. (MYS).

Triade Gaurnaty (TIGC.OB).  If you aren't new to my blog, you already watch this co. I'd feel happy Buying @ .30 range; Hell Yeah!, wonder if it'll ever be that Low, again.  Any Cowboys out there?
Ironwood Gold Corp. (IROG). Put this on your watchlist as a possible Cowboy Trade.