Going INto Pharms This Year?, Got a Pick For You...

     We're Heavy In on PharmAthene with a October Contract @ 1.66. Took Profs in Dec.  Today, we Re-Upped @ 4.13 (Stop Lossed).  Now the waiting game begins...

     PIP is a BioDefense company engaged in the development and commercialization of medical countermeasures against biological and chemical weapons. It has five product candidates in various stages of development. 

     In general, we're going to be buying more Pharms this year.  PIP may be this year's XOMA (without the desperate downtrailing before the payoff).  Our bet is the Profit-Taking will come early because of a lawsuit which may be decided with and out-of-court settlement (view file) as early as this month.  Still, would have faith in Long (hey, we did do an S/L). 

View Case File

Today...

Did anyone catch TGIC, today?  What about the past week?

End of Year Strategies...

    

     This is the time of year when We can start taking a breather on trading.  Our current Strategy is to go into a Holding Pattern until January of 2011.

     After Our recent Positioning in HTS (Heavy, Heavy) it's time for us to settle in.  Sure there's going to be the Infrequent Trade, but the Major Plays (excluding HTS) of going Back IN Long to MGM, LVS, MRO, PIKE, WFC and XOMA (mostly using Dollar-Cost Averaging) have been made.  today was a good day to achieve this. 

     And I've coined a new phrase: "Redown"- buying shares on the downswing in cos one has Long Position on.  We've always used this Strategy, but it took kudos from a broker I respect for me to realize what a Very Good Strategy this is.  

We'll be using Divs Only to achieve trades for Nov-Dec.
We've Lost so much money on XOMA, that our DCA has been "improved" by 64%...
(The strategy on XOMA is Pure Spec; not intended for the timid.
And We are IN Heavy.)

Clear Sailing ahead for Teekay Offshore...

         Teekay Offshore Partners L.P. (TOO) has long been a favorite of mine.  Recently, the price has been good and Held it's Value.  The main reason We own it is for the Div. in the 8% Range.  The Value Forward will be based on the fact that oil, regardless of the barrel price, must be Shipped and Stored.  Empirical Intuition Trading at it's most Elementary.  If you can catch it @ the $19-21 Range, GET IN.

 (a Buy Op, selfishly, I hope won't happen...)

Weyerhaeuser Company, A BUY?...

  Last year, we finally had enough profits to break out of our Comfort Level and purchase stocks over $20 per share.  One of the first Heavy Buys was The Weyerhaeuser Company (WY).  We went IN @ 36.21 on anticipation of surely rising housing construction and, as a Holding Stock, more future diversification into Real Estate Sales.  In May, we got on a bender to Dump "Non-Performing/Stagnant" Stocks to raise Buy Cash.  WY was on the guillotine and was sold on the 19th for 43.87.  It had come off the High of 53.89 and SmarTrend had perdicted a Downturn, c'est la vie...

    Investment Life went on, as we took the company off the Port Watchlists and relegated it to Prospectives.  The next Blip came on July 20th when the shares dropped from 41.83 the previous day to 15 + change.  This major correction was due to the fall in demand of packing boxes (??) and bad housing reports.

NOW...

     We just went IN @ 15.445, purchasing the exact amount of shares we did in October of last year.   Same strategy will apply and we'll toast the move, tonight; not only for going back in, but for the bullet we dodged earlier this year (we already raised a glass to that).

This, Boys and Girls

is how The Game is Played...

(Now, if only we could only get EVEN on ZOMA!!!..)

Surprise in Conflicting Results...

     Our Current Retail Portfolio Stocks (BBBY, CHS, DDS, DKS, SMRT, TLB) aren't often thought of by us as "Contrarian Stocks"*, but they don't seen to be hurting too much in view of Consumer Sentiment being Lower Than Expected in October '10.
     However, we did choose these stocks based on a Recovering Economy as opposed to some we may have chosen (but not purchased) for a Declining One; say, a WMT or TGC.  That Play seems to be paying off.

*"Contrarian Stocks" are those in Our Ports which go against the Dow, rising in price as the Dow is down and visa-versa.

Oct 15 (Reuters) - Thomson Reuters/University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers' preliminary October consumer sentiment fell to 67.9 from 68.2 in the final September reading according to a report released on Friday. Economists in a Reuters survey expected a preliminary October reading of 69.0.

Today...

     Getting ready to go back IN on WFC?  NOW is the time to stay vigilant...

Chinese Investment On the Radar...

     We've recently been looking at China for an Investment Op after overcoming some resistance to the idea between us.  The main obstacle to Our involvement is the fact that China is still a Communist Country.  Although massive moves to a more Socialist Society have been Forced on the Rulers, it's Smart to remember what the New Russia did to Successful Cos; Destroyed Them, Imprisoned Their Officers or Outright Took Them Over.

 With this Caveat...

We're looking to China North East Petroleum Hldng Ltd. (NEP) for an investment oppotunity.  They've a Good Track Record and Proven Reserves.  @ around $7.00, we're happy going in Heavy. 

What We're Watching For NOW and October...

Our Standard 2010 Watchlist:

ABAT  ACLS  AMLM.OB  ATAX

 BAK  BBBY  BGP  BKCC  BKCC  BKPG.OB  BQR

CAGTF.PK  CAKE  CBL  CENX  CHS  CIIC  CLWR  CQB  CSX  CTIC

DDS  DKS  DRE  DUK  DUSA

EBHIQ.PK  EDD

F  FDX  FLO  FMIOX  FRPT  FSII  FTR  FWLT

 GEA  GSB

  HIT  HON

 IGD  IID  IROG.OB  ISRG

 JVA

KSP

 LJPC.PK  LROD  LTHU.PK  LVS

 MCD  MELA  MGM  MLC  MLCTF.PK  MOT  MRO  MRO  MRT  MSY

NEU  NGD  NHWK

 ODP  OZM

 PAG  PDLI  PDLI  PG  PIKE  PSID

 RAD  RDS.A  RUTH

 SIRI  SMRT  STD  STX

 T  TGIC.OB  TIE  TLB  TMRFX  TOO

WFC  WSCE  WY

X  XOMA





Next Best Move

found somewhere in RED...

If we don't get gunshy,

and Pull the Trigger TOO Late.

(Private Joke)

Today...

We just Reupped on Mobile Data Corp. (MBYL[.0B]).  Thought is was Good in .09 range, and I've faith in the prospects @ .103.  Mobile Data Corp, formerly Endeavor Explorations Inc., was an exploration-stage company without operations. The Company's principal business was the acquisition and exploration of mineral resources. In July 2009, it abandoned its interests in eight mineral claims located in the Uranium City area of Northern Saskatchewan, which were acquired in January 2008. On October 27, 2009, the Company entered into an asset purchase agreement with Spider Technologies for the acquisition of all of the right, title and interest in the mobile technology for Smartphones (the Technology).

Cautionary Retail Sector Advice...

     I have had to make my rationale for the Retail Sector to My Partners.  This is the time of year I think about the Fall BuyIn Season and Retailers are my Stars.
     
     The topic was "Saturation".  I used Lowes as opposed to Home Depot and Wal-Mart vs smaller Consumer Outlets.  My argument is both LOW and WMT have "maxxed out" both thier expansion and customer base.  The room for Future Growth has a very thin margin.

EDIT    

Add to Watchlist...

Take a look at these Stocks for Next Year.

Company                               Year-over- Year Growth        2011 P/E  
                                                                             
First Solar (Nasdaq: FSLR)              +36%                           15.5
PACCAR (Nasdaq: PCAR)               +32%                           17.5
Micron Tech (Nasdaq: MU)             +28%                            4.0
JDS Uniphase(Nasdaq: JDSU)        +26%                           15.5
Amazon (Nasdaq: AMZN)               +25%                           36.0
Apple (Nadaq: AAPL)                      +23%                          14.5
Cognizant Tech (Nasdaq: CTSH)     +23%                          22.5
Titanium Metals (Nasdaq: TIE)       +23%                          28.0
Celgene Corp.(Nasdaq: CELG)         +21%                           17.0
Cummins (NYSE: CMI)                     +20%                           12.5
Intuitive Surgical (Nasdaq: ISRG)   +20%                           30.0

We are already IN companies denoted RED.

     Chris Marshall @ Emerging Stocks in Alberta, Canada (!) keeps hawking me about Pacific Blue Energy Corporation (PBEC).  I have featured this co before and am now Going In Heavy.  It's in the Portfolio Genre of LTHU, i.e. I hope for good future growth potential (but I'm setting Stop Loss at my earliest possible opp).

     Check out the co and look into Emerging Stocks (listed as an R&D site in my Tool Box).  Call them, ask for Chris.    

 

Today...

Just got back In Town and got a VERY HOT PICK from someone I trust.
Stick some spare change into MBYL.OB.

Today's Strategy...

Check out DelTron, Inc (DTRO) for a Cash Grab.

Banco Santander, S.A. (STD) won't necessarily do more, after Passing Test, than the 15% Gain from last month.  We're Holding, not Taking Profit (as we have already done earlier this year). 

CLWR is Cheap.  It's overdue for an upward swing.

Add to Watchlist: Take A Look At MLPs...

Check out Master Limited Partnerships.
 

     MLPs are limited partnerships that are publicly traded.   One of the most crucial criterion that must be met in order for a partnership to be legally classified as an MLP is that the partnership must derive most (~90%) of its cash flows from real estate, natural resources and commodities.
     The advantage of an MLP is that it combines the tax benefits of a limited partnership (the partnership does not pay taxes from the profit - the money is only taxed when unitholders receive distributions) with the liquidity of a publicly traded company.

We have had:
K-Sea Tranportation (KSP),
Eagle Rock Energy Partners (EROC) and
Navios Maritime Partners (NMM)
in Working Accounts for awhile and are having fun in Spec.  Make them a part of a Cash Dividend Strategy.  Regardless the price of oil, it'll still need to be shipped.  It's a funny reason for Buying In, but we've made enough money on these to "laugh all the way to the bank".  As an adjunct, we're Twice as Heavy IN Teekay Offshore Partners (TOO).

Now...

Did you catch the TGIC Rebound?  Still Cheap!  Remember, as a Group, we use this stock for a Cash Grab.

     Another deal is WFC.  We're in at $27 and change and are Re-Upping at current prices [25.41]. 
     I had a broker question why I was so positive on Wells-Fargo when there were other's to spec on which may be more profitable (besides STD, WFC is the only currently Held in Ports).  I told him I had to be comfortable with the companies The Group buys and we'd done well enough not to Prostitute Principles (too much).  By the way, his suggestion was BAC, a company you'll never read a good thing about, herein.  

This Week: Moves...

LTHU - LVS - watch TGIC
CQB - finish IWA - DKS (?)

Our Gamble On Xoma and The Man To Watch...

     Steven B. Engle is now the CEO and Chairman of XOMA.  He Jumped from LJPC in 2007.  We've lost money on our LJPC Stock, though we got our before it went on Life Support (there's still a couple thousand shares floating around in our Ports).  Hmm...  If our investment in XOMA doesn't do well, and it has hit the skids since we first Bought In, I'll know the next company this guy goes to.  If he's running "Pump and Dump", I'll be In on the next one.  And if he brings Xoma52 to the market, successfully, I'll want to stay with a Winner.  LJPC was not a winner, but we're all entitled to that one BIG MISTAKE in our careers.

     I was a successful Telemarketer in L.A. during the early 80's so I know a good Scam when I see it.  Maybe I'm a bit paranoid about Scams, but it has kept me from Loses (and been responsible for some Gains) in the past.

P.S.  We just ReUpped XOMA @ .38, so I'm obviously not that concerned. (first In was @ .70, first reup @ .52 [Heavy])

What To Do...

     We're lucky in the fact that Our Ports are Diversified and Large.  With the Market Moving Sideways, lately, Our Strategy is to just Manage them.  Still, we need to place cash, which is backing up.  Along with Cash Dividends we earn on Non-Holding Account stocks, there's the money we have to invest from outside sources (salaries, royalties, retainers, tipouts et. al.).

     This is where Our Port Diversity comes in handy.  We bitch and complain when we're looking for bargins, THAT OUR STOCKS ARE THE BARGAINS!  This has lead us to a flurry of Re-Ups.  Our recently rolled follow:

XOMA - TGIC (Cowboy) - SIRI

HON - CENX - MSY - PIKE - AA - DRE

MGM - NOK - ODP - WFC

Take a look at your Port and do some Re-Upping.  Hell, you had Faith in the Stock when you bought it; The Market is testing that Faith.